Improving Penetration Forecasts Using Social Interactions Data

Improving Diffusion Forecasts Using Social Interactions Data

Network Traces on Penetration : Uncovering Degree Distribution based on Diffusion Data to Improve Forecasting

In this thesis we investigate how the social network structure, specifically the network degree distribution, affects processes of diffusion of innovations. We show how networks can morph the diffusion curve and create deformations by distorting its symmetry. We propose a method for uncovering the degree distribution of the adopters' network underlying the diffusion process, based exclusively o...

Network Traces on Penetration: Uncovering Degree Distribution from Adoption Data

We show how networks modify the diffusion curve by affecting its symmetry. We demonstrate that a network's degree distribution has a significant impact on the contagion properties of the subsequent adoption process, and we propose a method for uncovering the degree distribution of the adopter network underlying the dissemination process, based exclusively on limited early-stage penetration data...

Dynamics of analyst forecasts and emergence of complexity: Role of information disparity

We report complex phenomena arising among financial analysts, who gather information and generate investment advice, and elucidate them with the help of a theoretical model. Understanding how analysts form their forecasts is important in better understanding the financial market. Carrying out big-data analysis of the analyst forecast data from I/B/E/S for nearly thirty years, we find skew distr...

Investigating the Role of Social Relations between Managers and Employees in the Business Development (Case study: Etka Holding Organization)

In addition to improving production and income, development includes changes in institutional, economic and social structures that lead to the reform of the economic and social structure. The benefits that firms look at are the same interests of owners, managers and employees that have been neglected by the managers in business development. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to investigate...